It was not a great week in picks for us we will admit. We went 2-2 for the weekend again, and were not successful with the Always Custom Parlay. Our record is 9-8 heading into All-Star Weekend, so we’re going to need to go on a win streak to finish off the season. The Cannons crushed us again by losing to the Chaos 13-11 when they were +1.5. They are on a four game losing streak, and things do not look good for them. The Archers found themselves in a close game, beating the Redwoods 10-9, and subsequently didn’t cover their -1.5 spread. Those were our two losses, but we nailed our over and under bets for the weekend. Atlas and Chrome had a high scoring back and forth battle. The Atlas walked away with the win, 14-13, and cruised to our 25 point over. The Whipsnakes and Waterdogs finished the weekend with another close battle. We mentioned it in the last blog, the under has hit in the last game of the weekend 100% of the time this season. This battle ended with a 11-10 victory for the Waterdogs and with only 21 points, which means we won our 24.5 point under.
Since we’re at All-Star Weekend, there will be no games to take sides for until the teams are announced. So we’ll go through some stats for the year and do a mid-season recap. We’ve got some very interesting numbers to look at, so let’s get right into it. There have been 20 games played so far this year, and every team is good enough to compete for the championship but not all of them can.
The biggest number that might be the most obvious number is the Favorite’s money line. The team favored to win on the money line is 14-6 this year. So if you’re not into betting the spreads, the favored team is trending as the safer money line bet this season.
You might think that the favorite’s spread is more profitable because of the money line stat, but you’re wrong. The underdogs against the spread this year are 12-8. It might not seem like it makes sense, but this is why spreads exist. If you want the best bet this season, it’s looking like the favorite on money line, and the dogs on spread.
The last part is the over/under bets for the season, which is just as unpredictable as the rest of the categories. The over/under on games are sitting at 10-10 record on both sides. It’s a total shot in the dark until we see some progress. Of course if you have some understanding of the league you can guesstimate the outcomes. We’ve been doing pretty well on over/unders, but again, we have some solid knowledge going into each bet.
If you bet the underdog against the spread, favorite on the money line, and take your best shot at the over/under you’ll be cashing in those bets and taking over the PLL in no time. But hey, this is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
