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Top Shelf Spreads: Week 5

Another thrilling weekend of college lacrosse is behind us, and the underdogs stole the show with some major upsets and spread covers. If you were following along, you know we nailed our picks once again—bringing our season record to an impressive 12-4! We’re on fire right now, which probably means a cold streak is lurking around the corner. But for now, let’s break down all the action from this past weekend and look ahead to another exciting slate of games.

 

#1 Notre Dame vs. #2 Maryland (+2) | O/U 21.5 | Saturday, 1 PM

We’ve got a blockbuster matchup this weekend—a rematch of the 2024 National Championship. This game promises to be one of the most intense battles of the year. Notre Dame heads to College Park to take on a Maryland squad that looks like the biggest threat to reclaim the title. The Terps have hit their stride early and are eager to keep the momentum rolling, while the Irish have picked up right where they left off—dominating opponents with ease.

Georgetown gave Notre Dame a challenge, but it wasn’t enough to slow down the reigning champs. Chris Kavanagh and Jake Taylor continue to drive the Irish offense, while Eric Spanos and the Terps' attack have been just as electric. This matchup carries plenty of history, with the all-time series deadlocked at 9-9. The last meeting ended in a dominant 15-5 Irish victory to seal their national championship.

Historically, this rivalry has been a defensive slugfest, averaging just 9.5 goals per game since 1995. However, since 2020, that number has shot up to 23. Despite this trend, both teams boast elite defensive units this season—neither has allowed more than 10 goals in a game so far. With that in mind, don’t expect a high-scoring, end-to-end shootout.

Picking a side in this one is tough. Notre Dame is battle-tested, but Maryland has faced tougher competition this season and will be defending its home turf. Given the defensive strength on both ends, goals will be hard-earned.

Pick: Maryland +2, Under 21.5

 

#8 Princeton (+1.5) vs. #7 Duke | O/U 24 | Friday, 1 PM

Buckle up—this one has all the makings of a shootout. Two top-10 teams, both playing with pace and loaded with offensive firepower, square off in what should be a high-scoring battle.

Princeton enters at 1-1 after a hard-fought loss to Maryland, while Duke comes in at 4-0, though their record doesn’t tell the full story. The Blue Devils have had to grind out close wins against St. Joseph’s and Michigan, raising some concerns about their offensive rhythm. Despite plenty of talent, they’ve struggled to put teams away convincingly.

On the other hand, Princeton has played as expected so far, with their attack unit leading the charge. While it’s still early in the season, Duke looks vulnerable, and Princeton has momentum to build on—even coming off a loss.

This feels like a game where Duke survives but doesn’t cover. Expect plenty of goals, but don’t be surprised if Princeton keeps it tight the whole way.

Pick: Princeton +1.5, Over 24

 

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