Top Shelf Spread: Week 4

We’ve got another exciting weekend of two top-10 matchups ahead, and we’re coming off a perfect slate last week! We cashed in on Penn State +1.5 and under 24.5 as the Nittany Lions lost a thriller in OT (10-11). The Terps also delivered, securing an 11-7 win to hit +3 and under 23.5. That puts us at a strong 8-4 record on the season—what a difference one weekend makes!

Now, let’s dive into these big-time battles.

 

#9 North Carolina (+1.5) vs. #3 Johns Hopkins | O/U 21

Saturday, February 22| Homewood Field – Baltimore, MD

This is a matchup rich in history, dating back to 1977. The all-time series leans in favor of Johns Hopkins (27-25), but there’s not much breathing room there. The Blue Jays won last year 13-9, but UNC has taken three of the last four meetings. The Blue Jays are rolling, coming off four straight wins against strong opponents. Their offense is clicking, with Russ Melendez leading the team in points (15) and Brooks English serving as a playmaker with 11 assists through four games. The Tar Heels are undefeated, but their 9-goal performance against Stony Brook raised some concerns. If Owen Duffy and Dom Pietramala want to challenge the Blue Jays, they’ll need to find their rhythm early. Historically, this has been a low-scoring battle, with an average of just 10.7 goals per game between the two sides. But will that trend continue? This game also brings an emotional subplot, as UNC assistant coach Dave Pietramala returns to Homewood Field—the place where he built Hopkins into a powerhouse. Expect UNC to come in fired up for this one. This game should be a tight, back-and-forth battle, with UNC keeping it close. Hopkins has the momentum, but the Heels have motivation, making this a game that goes down to the wire.

Final Pick: UNC +1.5 | Over 21

 

#5 Princeton (+1.5) vs. #2 Maryland | O/U 21.5

Saturday, February 22 |Sherrerd Field - Princeton, N.J.

This game could be a playoff preview, featuring two teams stacked with talent on both ends of the field. Maryland is coming off a statement win over Syracuse, where Eric Spanos led the way with a four-point performance. The Terps' defense has been lights-out, allowing no more than eight goals in any game this season. If you get a scoring opportunity against Maryland, you better capitalize. Princeton had a solid win over Penn State, and momentum will be key as they take on the Terps. The Tigers’ attack unit is elite, led by Coulter Mackesy, Colin Burns, and Nate Kabiri. However, if they struggle to create separation, it could be a long day for the Tigers. This game carries more weight for Princeton than it does for Maryland—this is their chance to prove they belong in the national title conversation. Expect a gritty, strategic game with a tempo-controlled battle likely ending in a 12-10 type of score.

Maryland -1.5, Over 21.5